NFL Playoffs Divisional Round
Kansas City -9 -104 over Houston

Pinnacle -9 -104 BET365 -9 -110  Sportsinteraction -9 -110  888Sport -9 -110

Posted at 11:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

NFL Divisional Round

Kansas City -9 over Houston

Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO

4:30 PM ET. The market perception of Kansas City has shifted this season. The Chiefs didn’t blow teams out as often as they have in past seasons, and Patrick Mahomes posted his least productive campaign as a starter. Despite finishing 15-2, the Chiefs covered just three of their last 11 games, which has left bettors wary of spotting significant points.

Meanwhile, the Texans are riding a wave of positivity, having shocked the Chargers in the Wild Card round. C.J. Stroud has captured attention all season, and Houston’s defense delivered a dominant performance last week, forcing four turnovers and sacking Justin Herbert four times. However, perception is not reality. The Chiefs’ apparent lack of dominance was a product of circumstance, not capability. History shows that when stakes are high, Kansas City delivers. Mahomes is 6-0 in divisional playoff games and 8-2 ATS as a playoff favorite of seven or more points.

The Texans have an undeniable Achilles’ heel: their offensive line. With starting guard Shaq Mason sidelined and a patchwork group protecting C.J. Stroud, this unit will be severely tested. Stroud has a tendency to hold onto the ball too long, which will allow Chris Jones—returning after missing three games—to wreak havoc in the backfield. Houston’s inability to hold up in the trenches will make sustaining drives incredibly difficult. Add in the raucous Arrowhead crowd, where Kansas City has won 11 straight games, and the Texans face an uphill battle unlike anything they’ve seen this season. Swallow the points.

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Sharkies

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Our Pick

Kansas City -9 -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)