Pinnacle +6½ +100  BET365 +6½ -105 Sportsinteraction +6½ -105  888Sport  +6½ -105

Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Dallas +6½ +101 over Washington

1:00 PM ET. The market loves winners, and the Commanders are basking in the glow of their best season since 1991. With 11 wins, a playoff berth secured, and a shiny new franchise quarterback in Jayden Daniels, the Commanders have become the darlings of the NFC, but when a team’s stock reaches these euphoric heights, inflated prices inevitably follow.

The Commanders don’t have much to play for here other than seeding—they’ll either be the NFC’s No. 6 or No. 7 seed. Head coach Dan Quinn has zero incentive to expose his key players to injury in a meaningless finale ahead of Wild Card Weekend. Daniels, who has exceeded all expectations as a rookie, has already locked up Offensive Rookie of the Year honors and isn’t likely to see much action, if any.

Enter the Dallas Cowboys, a team the market can’t dump fast enough. Dallas has had a rough season, marked by injuries to key players, including Dak Prescott, and they’re coming off a humiliating 41-7 loss to Philadelphia. The Cowboys are limping to the finish line, but that loss has created an opportunity. Dallas is a proud franchise, and owner Jerry Jones won’t tolerate another embarrassing performance. While this may be Mike McCarthy’s swan song as head coach, he’s still auditioning for his next job, as are the rest of the guys with blue stars on their helmets. The Cowboys have every reason to put forth a respectable effort.

Regardless, we’re catching inflated points with a “dog-friendly” number in +6½ with a locker room that is still full of prideful warriors. Washington’s bubble could easily burst here, as the Commanders’ focus should already be on the postseason.

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