Pinnacle +155  BET365  +150 Sportsinteraction +150  888Sport +150

Posted at 10:30 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Cleveland +155 over Miami

4:05 PM ET. When you’re in the business of betting, you know that perception is everything. The Dolphins, fresh off a 29-17 win over San Francisco, are riding the wave of public confidence. They’ve got a high-powered offense, a flashy quarterback in Tua Tagovailoa, and household names like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, however, it was not those star players who led the Fish over the ‘Niners it was the foot of kicker Jason Sanders, who made five field goals.

Let’s stick with Miami. While the Dolphins are technically still alive in the playoff race, their postseason hopes rely on a convoluted sequence of outcomes, including losses by the Chargers, Broncos, and Colts. By the time this game kicks off, Miami may have already been eliminated from the postseason. That’s not an ideal mindset for a team that struggles to win on the road in cold-weather games.

Meanwhile, the Browns are playing out the string, but this is their home finale, and pride can’t be discounted. Kevin Stefanski is coaching for his job—even if ownership says otherwise—and Dorian Thompson-Robinson gets another chance to prove he belongs in the league. The Browns' rookie quarterback struggled last week, but Cincinnati’s defense is far superior to Miami’s. The Dolphins rank 26th in sacks and are tied for 22nd in interceptions, meaning Thompson-Robinson will have more time and less pressure to work with.

Let’s also consider the spot. This is a quintessential “fat and happy” game for Miami. They looked great last week, but that win came at home, under ideal conditions, against a 49ers team playing with a backup quarterback. Now they travel to Cleveland, where temperatures are expected to hover near freezing. Tua’s performance in cold-weather games has been dismal, and Miami’s offense has historically sputtered in less-than-perfect conditions.

On the other hand, Cleveland has nothing to lose and can at best, play spoiler and at worst (if Miami is already out) put the stamp on another disappointing season in South Beach. Misery loves company and all that. There’s a very real chance Miami’s season ends with a whimper in the frosty air of Cleveland.

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