Pinnacle -2 -108 BET365  -2 -110 Sportsinteraction -2 -110  888Sport -2 -110 

Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Kansas City -2 -108 over Pittsburgh

1:00 PM ET. The market loves a good narrative, and Pittsburgh has provided one all season. The Steelers are 10-5 against the spread, have played the underdog role to perfection, and now find themselves in a “must-win” spot after a humbling 34-17 loss to Baltimore last week. That loss didn’t just sting—it exposed the Steelers for what they are: a flawed team that’s been overachieving. Russell Wilson turned the ball over twice in critical moments, including a devastating fumble deep in Ravens territory, and this offense once again showed its limitations.

On the other side, Kansas City is business as usual. The Chiefs come in at 14-1, winners of five straight, and just a win away from clinching the top seed in the AFC. While they’ve disappointed against the spread this season (7-8 ATS), context matters. This team has been laying inflated numbers all year while dealing with injuries across the board. Despite that, they’ve managed to stay turnover-free during their current winning streak, and Patrick Mahomes continues to deliver, even on one ankle.

The Steelers might look like a live home dog at first glance, but let’s dig deeper. Pittsburgh has played three games in 11 days, and the emotional toll of last week’s loss to Baltimore can’t be overstated. That was their shot to take control of the AFC North, and they let it slip away. Now they have to pick themselves up against the league’s most dangerous quarterback while knowing Baltimore holds the tiebreaker. The pressure on Wilson to play mistake-free football is immense, and that’s not a recipe for success against a Kansas City team that thrives on creating chaos. Pittsburgh’s desperation is baked into this short line, and the market is leaning heavily toward the Steelers, creating value on the favorite.

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