Pinnacle +7 -110 BET365 +7 -115 Sportsinteraction +7 -115 888Sport +7 -115

Posted at 12:00 PM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Pittsburgh +7 -110 over Baltimore

4:30 PM ET. If you’re buying what the market is selling here, you’d think the Ravens are on the verge of walking away with an easy win against a Pittsburgh team they’ve struggled to solve for nearly a decade. Baltimore is being asked to spot 6½ points in a game where their track record against this opponent couldn’t inspire less confidence. Let’s not sugarcoat it—Pittsburgh owns Baltimore. Eight wins in the last nine meetings. Four straight wins in Baltimore. Underdogs in six of those matchups, and they still walked away the victor. In short, the Steelers have been living rent-free in Baltimore’s head for years.

The Ravens’ recent offensive explosion against the Giants is likely why they are being asked to spot inflated points here, as Lamar Jackson threw five touchdowns in that contest with Baltimore cruising to a 35-14 win, but before we start anointing the Ravens as unstoppable once again, let’s remember this was against the New York Giants—a team that would struggle to stop a middle school offense at this point.

The Steelers don’t just play well against Baltimore; they make Lamar Jackson look like Jameis Winston. In five career starts against Pittsburgh, Jackson has a 1-4 record and more interceptions (8) than touchdown passes (5). The narrative is that Baltimore has to win here. Not only can they not lose to the Steelers again, but the Ravens cannot let Pittsburgh clinch the AFC North in their house. We all know the stakes, but sometimes that pressure becomes an anvil around a team’s neck and it’s Baltimore that is the one carrying all the emotional baggage here. The Ravens haven’t beaten the Steelers in Baltimore since 2019, think they’re not feeling that?

The Ravens have been a house of cards when forced to play from behind or when things don’t go according to script. Asking them to cover nearly a touchdown against a team that knows exactly how to beat them? That’s a tall order and a huge ask. The inflated points are a gift, but don’t be surprised if the Steelers ruin the Ravens night outright.

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