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Posted at 9:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Denver +7½ over N.Y. Jets

1:00 PM EST. This week, the drama between Sean Payton and Aaron Rodgers is center stage after Payton made comments about former Broncos coach and current Jets offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett’s job in Denver, calling it "one of the worst coaching jobs in the history of the NFL." That quote is memorable because rarely does one of the old boys' coaching clubs so mercilessly throw another of their coaching brethren under the bus, yet do it so spectacularly as Payton did. It was not only unprofessional, but it was personal.

The reason we lead with that and not what has gone on the field so far in 2024 is this: the Jets are led by Hackett’s best friend in the whole wide world, Aaron Rodgers, and the two go back to their days in Green Bay. AR12 hand-picked his boy to be the OC in NYC when he moved on to the Jets before the 2023 season. The “revenge” angle is often used and played up by the media and the market, and when we usually hear about it, we shake it off and actually look to the other side because when it is used, there is often an overreaction.

This game checks so many boxes, as the Jets also won and covered easily in a prime-time game in Week 3 over New England, but that’s like the sprinkle on the sundae. The chocolate sauce is a sweet situational spot in which the Jets head to jolly old England in Week 5 to face the Vikings at Tottenham Stadium. If you think Aaron Rodgers cares more about revenge than he does hanging out across the pond enhancing his own image, we have a bridge in Brooklyn we’d like you to have a look at.

The Broncos did make an impact with a lopsided, 26-7 win in Tampa last week, no doubt, but that is but one game, and there is just so much more working against the Jets both from a market perspective and the reality of their future schedule. There are going to be spots where the favorite starts to storm back, as the dogs are barking early in the season, but this game is not one of them.

Sherwood

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