Minnesota @ Green Bay
Green Bay -3 +106 over Minnesota

Pinnacle-3 +106 BET365 -3 +100 Sportsinteraction -3 +100  888Sport -3 +100

Posted at 9:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Green Bay -3 over Minnesota

1:00 PM EST. The Packers are not the story here, although they do have a potentially tough choice to make in light of both Jordan Love’s sprained left MCL and the positive (2-0) results with backup Malik Willis under center. Love was injured in Week 1, and Willis, who was picked up for a seventh-round pick and a ham sandwich, has filled in admirably, running the plays asked of him and limiting his mistakes. Willis did not light it up, but he was better than some of the shade that’s being thrown his way as a “system QB” would suggest. There is no official word on if Love will start this week, but even if he does, he probably will not be 100%. The Packers are now 2-1 after losing to the Eagles in Brazil and winning games as an underdog vs. the Colts and Titans with Willis at the helm.

We are now living in the “Sam Darnold: MVP Candidate” timeline, as he has the Vikings out to a red-hot start, going 3-0 both Straight Up and Against the Spread (ATS). The Vikings have seen their preseason Super Bowl odds drop from 80-1 to 25-1 or so depending on the sportsbook. At one popular radio sports show this week after Week 3, there was a segment where the hosts were “buying and selling,” and one of them made the case that the Vikings are a good “buy low” candidate considering the torrid start. We cannot stress enough that now is not the time to “buy” on the Vikes; it would be time to “sell” because their stock is through the roof.

Darnold is a great story, and it’s easy to forget that he’s younger than Joe Burrow, but there is also a reason that he’s bounced around the league for so long. He’s shown he can play, just not at a high level for an extended period. As for how the Vikings got here, they whooped up on the Giants in Week 1 (28-6), then surprised the 49ers at home, 23-17, as a +4-point underdog before Molly whopping Houston 34-7 as a small +1½-point home pooch. Now the Vikings are an underdog in Green Bay, which appears mighty enticing on the surface, but we can assure you there is a reason the Packers are favored here. Whether the Vikings are overpriced, the Pack are underpriced or the oddsmakers are “taking a position”, Green Bay is the prudent play because the line says so. If you’re looking for the cherry on top of this sundae, the Vikings play the Jets in London next week, setting up a potential “look ahead" spot as well.

Sherwood

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Our Pick

Green Bay -3 +106 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.12)