Pinnacle -2 -108   BET365 -2 -110 Sportsinteraction -2 -110  888Sport -2 -110

Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Houston -2½ +102 over Minnesota

1:00 PM EST. The Vikings are shooting up the power rankings as they come into Week 2 at a surprising 2-0 after beating the 49ers at home in Minnesota as a 4-point underdog. That line was bet down after it was announced that Christian McCaffrey would be out for the 49ers, and the market was rewarded for what we call “injury chasing.” That’s when there is an overreaction to a significant injury or, in this case, a late scratch that moves the line as if the oddsmakers did not know that news was potentially coming. Like anything, “injury chasing” can work once in a while, but over time, it’s a losing proposition.

Speaking of losing propositions over time, let’s discuss “buying high,” which brings us back to the Vikings, who, at 2-0 both straight up and against the spread (ATS), are now on the market’s radar when they previously were not. Now would not be the time to “buy” the Vikes; it’s time to sell, especially since they are playing a Texans side that has not lived up to their high early-season expectations, failing to cash a ticket in two games this season.

The Texans played a stinker on Sunday Night Football at home versus the Bears, and in a game the market expected Houston’s offense to go off, it sputtered, scoring just one TD in a 19-13 win, but no cover, as they were a -6-point favorite, which caused a push on some tickets and a loss for those that laid -6½. C.J. Stroud was the “it” QB coming into his second year, and he, too, has not impressed, but that has the Texans now in a “buy low” spot here on the road. The Texans should be a bigger favorite than they are, and they would be if not for recent results. That’s a market inefficiency that could potentially be profitable.

Sherwood

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