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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Denver +2½ over Pittsburgh

4:25 PM EST. This game is a prime example of the overreactions that can occur when there are contrasting results in Week 1. First up is Denver, which did not play well in Seattle, but still managed to cover by the slimmest of margins, with rookie QB Bo Nix sneaking in a 4-yard TD run to eke out a push in the +6-point spread in a 26-20 loss. Expectations were low for the Broncos before the season, and that lucky push did little to change that perception. However, the Broncos are now playing a team that greatly exceeded expectations in Week 1, creating an opportunity to profit by reacting to the market's overreaction.

That team is the Steelers, who went on the road and beat the Falcons on the strength of six Chris Boswell field goals in an 18-10 final. Not only did Boswell go 6/6 on the day, but he hit three from 50+ yards, at 57, 57, and 51 yards. While that’s impressive on some level, it also shows just how fortunate the Steelers were to win, as a lot can go wrong on long field-goal attempts, and those kicks are far from automatic. A breakdown of X’s and O’s isn’t necessary here, as all we need to know is that the Steelers were a +4-point underdog on the road last week in Atlanta, and now they’re spotting points on the road in Denver, which—even when the Broncos are down—isn’t an easy place to play. Should the Steelers really be the chalk here?

Sherwood

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For instance, a baseball game at most sportsbooks has 20 to 25 cent margins

Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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