Pinnacle +6½ -110  BET365 +6½ -110 Sportsinteraction +6½ -110  888Sport +6½ -110

Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Chicago +6½ -110 over Houston

8:20 PM EST. The spotlight on #1 overall pick Caleb Williams was red-hot last week in his first start as a pro, but those bright lights are about to be turned up tenfold with this being his first appearance on Sunday Night Football. Had Williams played great in Week 1, there would have been an overreaction to that performance, but now there’s an overreaction to just how poorly he played in his debut and how undeserving the Bears were to win that game over the Titans, 24-17. We challenge you to find one pundit or pick seller with a positive word to say about the Bears and their prospects on the road here in Houston in Week 2.

The media has a significant influence on the market, and Sunday Night Football is a game that sees a ton of action—especially if it’s been a down day for the market, as it’s the “bailout” game for anyone looking to salvage a losing Sunday. Regardless, after Week 1, you can practically hear the ankles breaking from the masses jumping off the Bears' much-hyped preseason bandwagon. It’s easy to pile on Williams for such a dismal first appearance, but let’s not forget it was his first start, and the expectations thrust upon rookie QBs are often unrealistic. The Bears never had an actual offensive touchdown. By all accounts, it may have been the worst game of Williams’ career (or so they hope). The new offense under OC Shane Waldron never had enough success to guess what it was supposed to look like when it works. That win was the only real positive from the game while all Chicago skill players get downgrades. The market is jumping off the Bears in a big way, which means it’s time to jump in.

The Texans won on the road at Indianapolis in Week 1, but they did not cover, thanks to a late Colts touchdown that let the Blue Horse Shoe cover the field goal spread in a two-point loss. While Houston didn’t cover, they’re getting top billing here, with QB C.J. Stroud front and center after his breakout rookie year in 2023. Stroud’s success further highlights Williams’ Week 1 struggles, but that attention from the media and the market only makes the Bears that much harder to bet. The Texans may win and cover this spread, but man, is this market ever down on the Bears, which makes them very playable by our standards. Add in that it is a prime time affair and we know for sure that the books are going to get buried if Houston covers. Books usually don’t get buried so be very careful about spotting these points.

Sherwood

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For instance, a baseball game at most sportsbooks has 20 to 25 cent margins

Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

That’s a 25 cent margin but at Pinnacle, it’ll be an 9 cent margin (see example)

Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

If you bet on sports daily, Pinnacle is a must have because of their low margins.

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