Houston @ Indianapolis
Indianapolis ++3 -105 over Houston

Pinnacle +3 -105 BET365 +3 -110  Sportsinteraction +3 -110 888Sport +3 -110

Posted at 9:45 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Indianapolis +3 over Houston

1:00 PM EST. No team overachieved like the Texans did in 2023, as they posted a 10-7 record and made a playoff appearance under rookie pivot C.J. Stroud, who became the league’s next "great" quarterback after winning Offensive Rookie of the Year in the process. Stroud wasn’t the only first-year player to take home the hardware, as defensive end Will Anderson won Defensive Rookie of the Year as well. The Texans went on to upset the Browns in the Wild Card game before losing to the Ravens in the Divisional round. The Texans won just three games in 2022, so they were able to sneak up on a lot of teams, but that won’t be the case this season. The Texans are dripping with hype and they aren’t going to surprise anyone in 2024.

The Colts season looked to go up in smoke after rookie QB Anthony Richardson was injured in Week 5, but they managed to finish 9-8 and played in a winner-take-all game for the AFC South with the Texans in Week 18, coming up just short in a 23-19 defeat. Here in 2024, Richardson appears to be healthy and ready to go for Week 1, and the Colts feature an elite defensive line led by Kwity Paye and DeForest Buckner, which will carry the load for the front seven and a young secondary.

We’re in the business of fading public perception, overreactions, buying high and selling low. The hype on Houston is off the charts while none of the talk shows or TV previews are even mentioning the Colts. That fits right into our wheelhouse in Week 1, as oddsmakers had no choice but to inflate the price on the road Texans in order to try and balance the books. That provides us with this outstanding opportunity to buy low on the Colts and sell very high on the Texans.

Sherwood

Pinnacle takes some of the lowest fees on all users’ bets, meaning it’s able to offer some of the best value odds on the market. Compared to other major, well-known sportsbooks, Pinnacle offers superior average odds pricing. Pinnacle’s low betting margins and high betting limits is the best in the biz and will save you thousands of dollars over your betting life.

For instance, a baseball game at most sportsbooks has 20 to 25 cent margins

Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

That’s a 25 cent margin but at Pinnacle, it’ll be an 9 cent margin (see example)

Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

If you bet on sports daily, Pinnacle is a must have because of their low margins.

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Our Pick

Indianapolis +3 -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)