Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 09:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.
L.A. Rams +3½ -110 over Green Bay
1:00 PM EST. Both the Rams and Packers are coming off Week 8 losses, but the Rams had their doors blown off in Dallas, losing a 43-22 decision as a 7-point pooch on the road. That was the Rams' second loss in a row after they blew a 4th-quarter lead against the Steelers in Week 7. On the season, L.A. is just 3-7, with its three wins coming against the Cardinals, Colts, and Seahawks. The Rams' losses have come to the Cowboys, Steelers, Eagles, Bengals, and 49ers, so when looking at the whole picture, the Rams have played the fifth most difficult schedule in the NFL, and they did so with significant injuries early in the season.
Suffering the worst loss in Week 8 has resonated, as there has been much chatter about just what went wrong in Dallas for the Rams, who were supposed to be better with Cooper Kupp back in the lineup. Well, as is often the case, the final score does not tell the whole story. We're not going to sugarcoat the result, but we will point out that the Rams were their own worst enemy, giving the Cowboys 16 points off of turnovers.
Meanwhile, the Packers are not taking much heat for their poor performance versus the Vikings, as the injury to Kirk Cousins has been the dominant story. That said, we are not going to let the Pack slide, as they are a total disaster right now. You saw how Las Vegas cleared house with the GM and head coach getting the boot, well, the Packers should do the same with GM Brian Gutekunst and coach Matt LaFleur. Gutekunst has gutted the offense and sent a Hall of Fame QB packing in favor of his own draft pick, and the Packers are suffering because of it. As for LaFleur, just watch him coach one game and tell us that he knows more than a 13-year-old with a copy of Madden 24 on their Playstation.
Furthering the Packers woes, was the unexpected trade of cornerback Rasul Douglas to Buffalo. Douglas was a loyal Packer and it was reported he hung up on Gutekunst when he found out about the trade. The rest of the Packers didn’t respond much better, as it was said emotions were high in the locker room after the trade was announced. While the Douglas trade wasn’t the biggest of the day, it might be one of the most impactful, as he was a big part of the Packers and played an important role in the community. Douglas loved Green Bay, embraced Green Bay and made it his home and Green Bay. Dude bled Green and Gold and he didn’t want to get traded, not even to a contender like Buffalo. You don’t treat people like that, not even in the cutthroat NFL. The GM just ripped the heart out of his defense. How do you think they’ll respond?
The Packers have played a weak schedule that ranks just 27th in the league, and we'd like to point out that they lost to the freakin' Raiders, for f**k's sake, just three games ago. That loss to Vegas was the second in Green Bay's four-game losing skid, and that that streak could be nearing five games had the Pack not completed a fourth-quarter comeback against the Saints in Week 4 when David Carr got injured and Green Bay was down 17 going to the fourth quarter.
The overreactions here run deep. First, Matthew Stafford will be wearing a heavy jacket on the sidelines, which means he’ll sit and Brett Rypien starts at QB for the Rams. Second, the Rams defense is coming off a season-worst performance against the Cowboys. Third, Ernest Jones, the Rams’ leading tackler and quarterback of the defense, will be sidelined with a knee injury. The Rams were a +6 point underdog at Dallas last week and now they’re just a FG less v Green Bay? Comparing Green Bay to Dallas is like comparing Taylor Swift to Rosie O’ Donnell.
Jordan Love is a bad driver behind the wheel of a jalopy. Thanks to over $57 million in dead cap space, the Packers finally got to live out their lifelong dream of signing no free agents at all. The highest profile signing was backup S Tarvarius Moore. Their second highest profile signing was a long snapper. The Packers are not better than the Rams and that would apply even if Tim Tebow was today’s starter for L.A. With two key players out, one on offense and another on D, expect the Rams to play their hearts out and beat this meek opponent. The voyageurs referred to Green Bay as La Baie des Puants, the bay of stinking waters. Nothing is more appropriate.
L.A. Rams +3½ +100 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)