Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 2:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.
Tampa Bay @ Buffalo (no bets)
8:15 PM EST. The Bills are in disarray after three poor performances that saw them lose games to Jacksonville and New England while barely escaping a Week 6 Sunday Night Football battle with the lowly Giants with a 14-9 win. The Bills' offense was dormant against the Patriots, as they racked up just three points in the first half. The Bills lost a heartbreaker in New England after trailing by double digits late and storming all the way back to take the lead with two minutes to play; however, the Buffalo defense could not stop the Patriots from scoring the game-winning touchdown with just 12 seconds to play. Over the last three games, the Bills have scored just 10 points total in the first half.
Despite the lack of offense, it’s not all bad for Josh Allen and crew, as the star pivot has only been sacked once in the past two games. Lucky for Allen, the Buccaneers sport a mediocre pass defense that is racking up 2.7 sacks per game.
As for the Bucs' offense, it’s not much better, as they rank in the bottom third in both scoring and total offense. Tampa’s rushing attack (or lack thereof) has been a catalyst for that lack of success, as it ranks 29th in rushing yards per game. The Bucs' passing game is a touch better, ranking 15th, but that’s not saying much.
Tampa Bay is 3-3, but we’d be remiss if we didn’t mention that they have played a weak schedule (23rd), which has inflated their win total relative to their power ranking. Despite being .500 through six games, the Bucs are ranked just 29th of 32 teams.
The Bills were an -8½-point favorite in New England last week, and now they are a similar price here at home against a Bucs team that is weaker than the Patriots in almost every conceivable way. Furthermore, the Bucs must travel up to Buffalo on a short week after blowing a game of their own against the Falcons. So much has been made about the Bills' struggles of late that Tampa Bay is somehow not catching any shrapnel for its own two-game losing streak, which includes a game they got blasted 20-6 by the Lions. The Bucs have played two teams with a winning record this season (Lions and Eagles), and the Bucs lost both of those games by double digits. We’re going to sit this one out, but it’s the Bills or nothing here. (no bets)
Buffalo -9½ -109 (Risking 0 units - To Win: 0.00)