Today's Free Picks for

Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.
Pinnacle +12½ -116 BET365 +12½ -110 Sportsinteraction +12½ -110 888Sport +12½ -110
Chicago +12½ -110 over Kansas City
4:25 PM EST. If you ripped up your ticket after betting on Chicago in Week 1 and were disgusted by its performance, doubling up in Week 2 was not a good plan, as we found out after betting them against the Buccaneers last week and losing again. You would be hard=pressed to find a team whose stock is lower than Chicago’s right now so the right thing to do, as hard as it may be, is to stick with it because we promise you the number is inflated.
In this new era of wagering on sports (same game parlays - prop bets, teasers, etc) that sportsbooks are promoting with incredible incentives, the teaser bet has become one of the more popular wagers out there. Well, sportsbooks have the data and have to protect against such teasers by inflating points on certain games. For instance, instead of being a -9 point favorite, where bettors could tease K.C down to -3, they inflate it so the tease becomes more difficult to cover.
The Bears have now lost 12 straight. They are 0-2 Against the Spread this season and they’ve failed to cover in 11 of those 12 straight losses. The point-spread is supposed to be the great equalizer but for the Bears, oddsmakers cannot give them enough points. They have been one of the greatest fades in NFL history over an extended period of time and books are sick of paying out on them.
We don’t like Chicago but we’re not in “we like or don’t like business”. We are in the value, over/under reaction and situational plays business and in that regard, if you play Kansas City, you indeed may win but Chicago is taking back a bunch of inflated points here based on all of the above.
Sherwood
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Our Pick
Chicago +12½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)