Posted at 10:45 AM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +14 -104 BET365 +14 -110 SportsInteraction +14 -110 888Sport +14 -110

Houston +14 @ Miami

1:00 PM EST. What are going to say that is going to get anyone excited to back the Texans? Houston gets its ass handed to it on a platter week in and week out. We know this because we’ve backed the Texans in three straight games, including their 23-10 loss to Washington last Sunday and their 24-16 downing by the Giants in Week 10. At 1-8 it's bad, but it’s no bother, as the Texans' plight gives us another opportunity to “stick with it” by siding with a team that nobody wants to touch with a 10-foot pole.

We’re not going to sugarcoat the Texans' season, but we will point out just how much further their stock has fallen in recent weeks. Prior to dropping those games to the Commanders and Giants, the Texans were a 14-point pooch against the then-undefeated Eagles. Now Houston is a similar price here against the Dolphins. That’s a little rich, no?

We appreciate that the Texans making a change at quarterback also makes them an easy target, as Davis Mills heads to the bench and veteran Kyle Allen steps in. Allen played his best ball in Carolina a few seasons ago, but it's worth noting that Ron Rivera liked him so much behind the scenes that the coach brought Allen with him to Washington. In his career, Allen had completed 63.1% of his passes, and sports a 24-to-17 touchdown to interception ratio, while also rushing for another four majors across 21 games. Allen is not a downgrade, he's an upgrade.

Miami’s stock is back to its late September high after winning four straight games, but we’re not buying. For some perspective of just how quickly a team’s value can rise in the market, look no further than the lines the books have put out on the Fish in recent weeks. Miami was a 7-point favorite at home to the Steelers, 3½-point chalk in Detroit, a 4-point favorite in Chicago and then a 3-point favorite at home to Cleveland last week. Now the Dolphins are spotting double digits? We’re not saying that Miami isn’t a good team, but don’t be a bit surprised if the Fish bring their “C” game here. You see, these guys are on social media more than we are. They read and hear the same things we do. All the Dolphins players are reading how good they are and that this week is a cakewalk. Furthermore, after this game the Dolphins will play three straight on the road at SF, the Chargers and finally the Bills. Point is, they’ll very, very likely treat this as a glorified practice, as they mentally prepare for much bigger prey.