Washington @ Houston
Houston +3 +100 over Washington

Posted at 11:30 AM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +3 +102  BET365 +3 +100 SportsInteraction +3 +100 888Sport +3 +100

Houston +3 +100 over Washington

1:00 PM EST. What a difference a game makes. Washington entered Philadelphia on Monday night as an 11-point underdog. The Commanders fumbled on their opening possession, handing the Eagles a free touchdown to open the game and it looked like blowout city was about to take place. But then Washington scored, then scored again, and kept scoring en route to a shocking 32-21 win. With the Seahawks, Cowboys and Falcons all losing last week, Washington suddenly finds itself very much in the playoff picture and Chase Young will be rejoining the team this week. He's not the only one that could be returning for the Football Team in the near future. Carson Wentz is scheduled to return from the IR, but Ron Rivera has not given any indication as to what his game plan is with Wentz and Taylor Heinicke but that’s a story for another time. The story, of course, is that the Commanders just took down the Eagles as the last unbeaten team to fall and they did so in Philadelphia’s stadium, no less. The 1-7-1 Texans are on a four-game losing streak and have yet to win a home game. Furthermore, Washington has won four of five with only its only loss over that span coming against the 8-1 Vikings in a game the Redskins should have won. Washington was up 10 in the fourth quarter. Just to recap, Washington just played the 8-1 Vikes and 8-1 Eagles, went 1-1 but should’ve went 2-0. Meanwhile, Houston has the worst record in the NFL and are 9-32 over its last 41 games. There’s also some QB rumblings on the Texans side with Davis Mills showing a lot of regression in recent weeks. The Stanford product showed some flashes during his rookie year to warrant the starting job, but nine interceptions in the Texans' last seven games has Lovie Smith looking around his quarterback room. If we’re predicting games like the man on the street or the NFL panels on pre-game shows, we’re taking Washington emphatically. How could you not? The man on the street is going to walk into a sportsbook in the U.S or U.K. and 1 out of 400 is going to bet the Texans. Seriously, what are we going to do? Break down X’s and O’s and come up with the Texans? That’s an exercise in futility. The NFL Game Day panels will break down the X’s and O’s and give you Washington. They have a winning record, oh, how about NEVER! We’re not going to try and sell you on the Texans because it’s your money and you can do whatever you want. We will, however, warn you that the oddsmakers were not sleeping on this game when they posted the Commanders as a small favorite. They didn’t post -3½ but could’ve and not swayed a single bet. One of the crucial aspects of handicapping football games is not to get caught up in X’s and O’s and to be able to recognize a price that is begging for you to step in or that has a foul odor to it. This is one of two games this week that has all those elements. Oddsmakers are gambling big time here that the Commanders will be out of gas mentally after playing four straight emotional games that came down to the final seconds in three before they took down the last unbeaten team in prime time. Washington beat Green Bay by two, Indianapolis by one and lost to the Vikings by three before last week’s upset. Line is screaming out that Washington is going down this week and because we’re not in the prediction business, we’ll listen to those screams.

Our Pick

Houston +3 +100 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)

Pittsburgh +127 over Indianapolis