Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:15 AM EST odds are subject to change.
New Orleans -104 over Pittsburgh
1:00 PM EST. We acknowledge the Steelers are down, but we must also recognize they are still the Steelers. Blue bloods of the league. If there is a larger, more vocal, and passionate fan base in the market, we don’t know who it is. We can hear the cries from the Cowboys, Packers, and Patriots, but y’all are going to have to sit this one out.
We also acknowledge the Saints are not hot shit either. New Orleans is just 3-6 both straight up and against the spread, and it is coming off an embarrassing 27-13 home loss to Baltimore on Monday Night Football. Those stand alone prime time games have great influence in the market.
Finally, we acknowledge that the market tried to catch the Ravens with their pants down, as the Saints would not have to face the full force of the Baltimore offense with significant injuries to both WR Rashod Bateman and more importantly, TE Mark Andrews. The Saints were a 3-point pooch all week, but the injury chasers drove that line down to nearly a pick ‘em. The appetite to belly back up to the Saints buffet spotting road points (albeit few) will be slim to none.
When a team is on bye, the sins of the past are washed away. At least for a moment. The market has the attention span of a hamster. Because of that, we’d like to point out that the Steelers have been a total mess this season. Don’t let reports out of Pittsburgh that Mike Tomlin has been tinkering with the offense and is ready to unleash rookie runner Jaylen Warren on the football world influence you here. No offense to Warren, but if the undrafted rookie was so special, wouldn’t have someone taken a flier on him back in April? Would the great Mike Tomin not have seen something in training camp or the preseason that would have tipped him off that Warren was a diamond in the rough? Look, maybe he is, that’s not for us to decide, but to blame the Steelers' woes on second-year man Najee Harris is asinine. Does Harris block for himself? Does he establish the pass so the run game opens up? Is it Najee’s fault the Steelers have no passing game to speak of and therefore no team has to respect it? Of course not.
The Steelers spent their off week getting weaker on offense. They traded WR Chase Claypool to Chicago for a second-round pick. Say what you want about Claypool, but the dude can ball when his head is in the game. What does trading Claypool say to the rest of the locker room? If that doesn’t scream that the Steelers’ brass is throwing in the Terrible Towel, what does? There is a damn good reason the oddsmakers came right back and made the Saints the road chalk in this game. They are the superior side, and it’s not close.
New Orleans -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)