Buffalo @ L.A. Rams
L.A. Rams +121 over Buffalo

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Posted at 1:45 PM EST and odds are subject to change.

LA Rams +121 over Buffalo

8:20 PM EST. 13 seconds. That’s how close these Bills were to punching their tickets to the AFC championship game. It was all lined up for quarterback Josh Allen and company to finally take that next step and compete for a Super Bowl. The mighty Chiefs were going to be vanquished, joining the #1 seeded Titans on the sidelines. All that would stand in the way of Buffalo making it to another Super Bowl would be the #4 seeded, 10-7 Bengals. You all know what happened next, but in case you forgot, the Bills would let Kansas City tie the game in the closing seconds. The Chiefs would win in overtime. 13 seconds.

Much like last season, expectations are through the roof in Buffalo, a city desperate for a winner. The Bills have all the pieces to make a run, they return nine starters on an explosive offense, and added dynamic rookie runner James Cook to that mix. He and the rest of the backfield will work behind an offensive line that brings back four of five starters. Veteran Rodger Saffold is expected to fill the right guard spot that was vacated. All things considered, there is no reason to trust the Bills won’t be just as good or better on offense this season.

On the Rams' side, we’ve already heard the talk about a Super Bowl hangover. It’s a condition that we’ve written about over the years, but now that the mainstream has picked up on it and is peddling it, we’re backing off its potential impact on this returning champion. One reason is that Sean McVay always has his team ready for Week 1. The Rams are 5-0 in Week 1 since McVay took over. Another is the fact that the “Super Bowl” hangover might not even be a thing. At least not out of the gate. Defending champions are 19-3 in Week 1 going all the way back to the turn of the century. Finally, it’s not often the Super Bowl champs are an underdog, at home, in Week 1. If you are the Rams, how can this line not be considered disrespectful? It is, and it’s prime locker room fodder.

This will be the first time this season we discuss spotting a small road price, and what a bad bet that usually is, but it won’t be the last. The streets of Vegas are lined with the ripped up tickets of those backing clubs spotting less than a field goal on the road. It’s an appealing bet on paper. You get the mighty Bills, and all they have to do for you to cash your ticket is win by a field goal? No problem. The reality is, more often than not, a price like this suggests the home side ought to be live as hell. The Rams are just coming off a championship, and they can’t wait to get back out on the field. We’re not saying the Bills aren’t a great team, they are, no doubt, but football is so much more than just the physical tools and talent—it’s between the ears, too. 13 seconds.

Rams outright is the call.

Our Pick

L.A. Rams +121 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)

Leans & analysis over