Today's Free Picks for
Pinnacle -2½ -108 ET365 -2½ -110 Sportsinteraction -2½ -110 888Sport -2½ -110
Posted at 3:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.
Liberty -2½ over Jacksonville State
Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA
Streaming: ESPN2
7:00 PM EST. Liberty is 5-1 this season, but the Flames are a dismal 1-5 Against the Spread (ATS), which is what matters most in the market. Last week was a particularly poor one for Liberty, as they not only lost their first game of the season but were beaten outright as a huge -26½-point favorite over Kennesaw State at home in Lynchburg, VA. A loss like that is going to have an impact on the market, and it’s not the only time Liberty has flirted with disaster as a double-digit favorite; they also had their hands full with New Mexico State (-22) and FIU (-16), which is a major talking point for the suits who are peddling Jacksonville State as a plucky pooch.
The Gamecocks are one of the hottest teams in the nation after winning and covering in four straight games. That includes whacking Southern Miss 44-7 as a -6-point favorite and putting up 63 on Kennesaw in a 41-point win as -17-point chalk. The Gamecocks have won those four games by an average of nearly 35 points, with their 42-20 win over Middle Tennessee State being the smallest margin of victory. The point is, J-Ville State is paying out like a broken slot machine, and the Gamecocks are scoring video game-type numbers week after week.
As appealing as it might be to step in and back Jacksonville State, you are too late to the ticket-cashing party. That does not guarantee the Gamecocks don’t cash another ticket tonight, but it means that you are “buying high” when you should be “selling high” on them. That is precisely what we are going to do while also “buying low” on Liberty spotting deflated points.
Sherwood
Take advantage of BET365's early NHL Hockey payout offer!
For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 3 Goals ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 3 Goals ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.
Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose.
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Our Pick
Liberty -2½ -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)