Today's Free Picks for
Pinnacle +3½ -108 ET365 +3½ -110 Sportsinteraction +3½ -110 888Sport +3½ -110
Posted at 3:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.
UNLV +3½ over Boise State
Allegiant Stadium – Las Vegas, NV
Streaming: ESPN 2
10:30 PM EST Not too long ago the Rebels were literally tabbed as the “Center of the College Football Universe”. However, after the Rebels lost in overtime against visiting Syracuse on October 4th, the stock on the Rebels plummeted and suddenly UNLV is uninteresting again. It is Boise State who is now standing front and center.
We remind everyone of this because every talking head and pundit alike was hyping up this very match-up in the beginning of this month, as to the victor goes the spoils and an inside track to a Group of Five Bid to the College Football Playoff. That still holds true here but between the Ashton Jeanty Heisman Campaign, which seems even more vocal and visceral than the pending presidential election and the emergence of undefeated service academies, UNLV is now suddenly an afterthought although the Rebels carried on conducting its business as usual after stubbing its toe (for what it's worth) against an ACC constituent who has been hovering around the Top 25 over this season. Yes, UNLV lost to Syacuse but they whacked Houston (A Big 12 Team) and defeated Kansas who was ranked in the preseason. UNLV figures to be highly focused and also be well-prepped to face the Broncos.
We can talk about Boise State’s “Alabama-like” pedigree when it comes to mid-major football but that’s old news. It therefore means that one can expect to pay a premium to back the Broncos on most occasions and certainly hazard a guess that’s the case here in such a prominent contest. Then there is the streak in this series itself. You see, Boise State has won the last seven meetings and UNLV has not defeated Boise State since 1976. This is utterly meaningless, as that has no bearing on the teams on the field in Sin City this evening. The market places way too much stock in these useless trends. UNLV was only granted a field goal at the open and the price has more or less been a meniscus between +3 and +3.5 all week, despite the droves of Boise State tickets. Make no mistake, the Rebels have the wherewithal to win this one outright, as they bode a Top-20 rushing defense (104.4 ypg) and everyone knows who is getting the rock when it comes to Boise State. Though the Rebels don’t have Jeanty carrying the load, they do have the fifth ranked rushing attack in the nation and thus can also limit the Broncos’ opportunities.
Sherwood
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Our Pick
UNLV +3½ -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)