Today's Free Picks for
Pinnacle +11 -108 ET365 +11 -110 Sportsinteraction +11 -110 888Sport +11 -110
Posted at 3:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.
Troy +11 over South Alabama
Hancock Whitney Stadium - Mobile, AL
Streaming: ESPN 2
7:30 PM EST. At 2-4, the Jaguars of South Alabama have been up and down all year. First, the offense started the year ablaze, but the defense lacked, and by the time the defense began to find its footing, the scoring dropped off. Of these two schools, the Jaguars are the better-known commodity in the market, and on the surface, they may look capable of covering a significant pile of points considering the Troy injury report looks like The Walking Dead, but a closer look shows that may be easier said than done.
The Trojans have had 12 days off to lick their wounds after a 38-17 loss to Texas State, which brought them to 1-5 on the season. There is no sugarcoating the record, but it’s worth mentioning that Troy has been hammered hard by injuries all season. Most notably, the Trojans have been without starting QB Goose Crowder since the end of September when he was lost in a game against Louisiana-Monroe. At the time of this posting, Crowder is still listed as probable, but even if he sits again, backup Tucker Kilcrease looked good against the Sun Belt’s best team, Texas State, despite the lopsided score. Kilcrease went 17-of-28 for 248 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions, and he’s a dual threat, as he’s the team’s third-leading rusher.
From a scheduling standpoint, the Trojans have played a much tougher slate than South Alabama, with Troy having squared off with two Group of 5 teams in Memphis and UL Monroe, as well as that tussle with tough Texas State and a B1G opponent in Iowa. South Alabama is a huge step down in competition here, and the Trojans are battle-tested and ready for prime time. These inflated points are very generous, and we aren’t going to pass them up.
Sherwood
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Our Pick
Troy +11 -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)