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Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

San Diego St over Oregon St

Snapdragon Stadium – San Diego, CA

Streaming: CBS Sports Network (CBSSN)

10:30 PM EST. The narrative surrounding this matchup is the story of two programs heading in opposite directions. Under former Head Coach Jonathan Smith, Oregon State found itself back in the top-25 and having influence on how the now defunct Pac-12 panned out. Meanwhile, San Diego State was once of the elite mid-major programs in all of college football under former Head Coach Rocky Long but have since regressed to mediocrity, finishing 4-8 in 2023 where the Aztecs parted ways with sacked Head Coach Brady Hoke to bring in former Kent State skipper and Colorado Offensive Coordinator Sean Lewis. In other words, the term recency bias could be aptly applied, as the market looks more favorably upon the Beavers because of their recent accolades, even if Oregon State is an entirely different team in 2024 without those who were integral in getting them to prominence.

We mentioned Jonathan Smith leaving town for East Lansing to take over at Michigan State but Oregon State’s impact players, QB D.J Uiagalelei and RB Damian Martinez, have also left Corvallis to head to brighter ACC waters. Under new coach Trent Bray, the Beavers cruised to a 38-15 win against Idaho State, last week, but one thing that we couldn’t help but pinpoint is the fact that the Beavers gave up over 300 yards of offense against a FCS team that went 3-8 in 2023. However, San Diego State was subjected to more scrutiny, as they were only ahead of FCS Texas A&M-Commerce 6-3 at the half before they went onto crush the Lions 45-14 and hold them to just 180 yards of offense. SDSU also won the turnover battle 3-0 while they were at it too but the halftime score along with State’s recent miseries did not endear them to the market.

San Diego State opened as a four-point dog but the market has been hammering the Beavers ever since. San Diego State coach Sean Lewis has brought an exciting, high-powered offense to The Mesa. After a slow first half in their opener, San Diego State racked up 42 points in barely a quarter and a half while also getting 223 rushing yards and two touchdowns from Marquez Cooper. They figure to be sharp and ready to go here and thus, we’re playing the Aztecs straight up. Keep the points.

Sherwood

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