Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:30 AM EST odds are subject to change.
Colorado +30½ over Washington
Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA
Streaming: Pac-12 Network
9:00 PM EST. Regardless of who the Huskies were playing this week, they were on our radar, as they had the biggest upset of Week 11, which had enormous influence on the College Football Playoff race when the Huskies, as a 12-point pooch, defeated the #6 Oregon Ducks in Eugene. In doing so, the Huskies ended the Ducks College Football Playoff hopes along with their 23-game home winning streak. Heading into that game, the Huskies had lost 15 out of their previous 17 against their bitter rival. To suggest it was a big win would be understating it. Washington is now ranked #17 in the country.
We will spare you any discourses on the depleted stock of the Buffaloes. That much is evident, as the Buffs have just one win on the year and they are 2-8 overall against the number. Colorado was also taking back 34½ and 31 points to USC and Oregon respectively the past two weeks and failed to cover in both. For further reference of just how inflated this number is, allow us to point out that Oregon, who was a 12-point fav over Washington, was a 31-point favorite over Colorado, which is the exact same price that Washington is today.
Washington has proven that they cannot be trusted spotting significant points. As a 13½-point favorite over Arizona St, the Huskies would lose outright. As a 7½-point fav over Cal, they would win but they failed to cover. As a 14-point choice over Arizona, the Huskies won by 10. Washington was a 31-point favorite over Portland State very early in the year and they won 52-6. The Huskies cannot be the same price against Colorado as they were against Portland St. We should also mention that after Colorado, another big rival is on the horizon next week as Washington will be heading to Pullman for the Apple Cup against arch rival Washington State.
Perhaps the most classic, basic handicapping spot is the ol' sandwich game. The no-name opponent on the schedule between two big games. The letdown and the lookahead rolled into one. And it remains a common cause of C-game, because there are so many ways to go wrong. The first big game can be taxing, thrilling, deflating or any other thing that big games often are, the second one can be anticipated in several different and distracting ways, and then there's the meat of the sandwich itself: never feared, perpetually overlooked, disrespected and written off. We mention this old standard this week because it fits here. Showdowns past and future with Oregon and in-state rival Washington State are the bread, Colorado catching four+ touchdowns is the filler, and Washington is the team on C-game alert.
Colorado +30½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)