Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:15 AM EST odds are subject to change.
Pinnacle +13½ -109 BET365 +13½ -110 SportsInteraction +13½ -110 888Sport +13½ -110
Arizona State @ Colorado +13½
Folsom Field, Boulder, CO
7:30 PM EST. Herm Edwards has given way to Shaun Aguano, while Karl Dorrell has been replaced by Mike Sanford in this unofficial “Interim Bowl” in Boulder this week. The Buffalos have cashed just one ticket this season in seven attempts and with that, CU will be operating with inflated points, because the bookmakers are tired of paying out every week against those that are fading the Buffs. Situationally, we look for ideal scenarios where this can strategically work to our edge and this is a spot where we can take advantage. It’s not enough to say that Colorado is taking back inflated points because their market stock is in the basement; that is a fact. It is also a matter of who this phenomenon is transpiring against. Enter Arizona State.
Yes, Arizona State. The same Arizona State who steps into this game with only two wins on the year; who fired their Head Coach midway through the season after losing to Eastern Michigan in Tempe; and who also bode a defense that sit 98th in the country in total yards against (408.4 yards per game). Would one trust laying double-digit points to any team with such characteristics? The market is apt to here not because ASU is so good but because the Buffalos appear so terribly bad.
Colorado regressed to the mean last week in 42-9 loss to Oregon State after a home upset of Cal the week before, bringing the defenseless Buffaloes at 1-6 straight up and against the points and facing the prospect of being double-digit underdogs in every game for the remainder of the season. In this particular instance we must question whether Arizona State deserves to be a 2-TD favorite over any team in the country right now, considering the Sun Devil defense has given up 32 points per game and 455 yards per game on defense to FBS foes while the offense has generated just 95 yards per games rushing over the past four games. Arizona State did almost snatch a miracle win away from Stanford on the final play of the game, a product of holding Stanford to just 15 points but put no emphasis on that, as the Sun Devils defense gave up 320 passing yards and five scoring drives. Had Stanford scored majors instead of shooting themselves in the foot numerous times, ASU would have lost by 28 points and then they would’ve been a -9 or -10 point choice here. Upset possibility.
Colorado +13½ -109 (Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)