Troy @ Appalachian St
Troy +13½ -110 over Appalachian St

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Posted at 10:00 AM EST and odds are subject to change.

Troy +13½ over Appalachian St

Kidd Brewer Stadium – Boone, NC

Streaming: ESPN+

3:30 PM EST. Last week, Appalachian State struck again or better yet the Mountaineers did Mountaineer like things by turning back the clocks to 2007 and staged an upset over another top-six ranked side when they upset the highly-touted Texas A&M Aggies 17-14 in College Station despite being priced as a 17-point dog. The landmark defeat once again, like in 2007, sent shockwaves across the college football landscape and the old adage is applied aptly here: the more things change, the more things stay the same.

As a result of last week’s upset in Aggieland, the Mountaineers have emerged in the national spotlight yet again and this will be enhanced this week, as College Gameday will be coming to Boone to regale in the exploits of the conquerors. We could cite last week’s incident with the App State faithful storming the streets of Boone as reason to fade the Mountaineers this week given the propensity for a hangover but now that propensity is even greater given the rah-rah and fanfare that will be sweeping through Boone with College Gameday and national attention being cast upon the historic program. When we consider who Appalachian State is facing this week as well, that makes the Mountaineers that much more of a savory fade.

In its two first weeks of play in 2022, App State was involved in two high-profile games. First, against North Carolina which was basically a basketball game on turf where each team scored over 60 points and the Mountaineers were separated from a victory from a mere play in a failed two-point conversion. Though Appalachian State lost the game, they nevertheless garnered a lot of limelight from the outcome, as the game was built up as a battle for state-wide supremacy that lived up to the billing. The Mountaineers would parlay this into the Texas A&M tilt and come away with the shocking upset. Against two Power Five sides, the Mountaineers are 1-1 and own a win against a top-six side in one of the toughest places to play in the country. Not too shabby. However, it’s hard to imagine that the same energy will be brewing against a team like the Troy State Trojans.

Troy however is no stranger to playing in games of this magnitude. It was just two years ago where we saw the Trojans on the big stage against an unsuspecting and undefeated Coastal Carolina where the Chanticleers were forced to survive and escape Troy State. The Trojans incidentally were also priced in a similar range as App State is today. History has a funny way of repeating itself, and the fact that Troy is operating at an underdog-conducive number suggests that may indeed be the case. It also remains that betting App State today is betting a side a week too late, which is something we rarely endorse. Getting behind the Mountaineers would also be playing into a huge overreaction, as the Mountaineers went from a 17-point underdog to a 13½-point favorite in just a week. That is a 30-plus point swing and once again bodes equity in fading the Mountaineers. Grab the points.

Our Pick

Troy +13½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

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