Pinnacle   -8  -110  BET365  -8  -110 Sportsinteraction -8 -110 888Sport -8  -110

Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Maryland -8 over Colorado State

Climate Pledge Arena – Seattle, WA

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament – Second Round – West Region

7:15 PM ET. Remember when we said there’s a time and place to fade Colorado State? That time is now. We backed the Rams in the first round as a 1.5-point favorite against Memphis, even though they were a #12 seed facing a #5. The number told the story, and CSU delivered—an easy cover, their 11th straight win, and another ATS cash. Now? The whole world is lining up to hit the broken slot machine.

But we know how this goes. Markets correct. Streaks end. And this matchup is the perfect place for that to happen.

Enter Maryland—a team that not only looked dominant in their opener but was also faded hard in that spot. Grand Canyon was a trendy dog, another mid-major darling taking back what looked like a generous number. And what happened? The Terps obliterated them by 32 in a game that was never in doubt. They didn’t just cover—they buried them.

Yet, despite that wire-to-wire demolition, Maryland still isn’t getting the respect. Why? Because Colorado State is riding the heater. If CSU weren’t on this streak, they’d likely be catching double digits here—just like Grand Canyon was. That’s where the value flips.

We don’t need to break down the X’s and O’s here. This is a market reaction play. Colorado State has been cashing tickets, and the books are adjusting to that—not to this specific matchup. Maryland just faced a team in a nearly identical spot—and ran them out of the gym. Now, we’re getting the superior side at a discount.

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Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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