Pinnacle   +150  BET365  +1500Sportsinteraction  +150 888Sport +150

Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Oregon +150 ML over Arizona

Climate Pledge Arena – Seattle, WA

NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament – Second Round – East Region

9:40 PM ET. This is a textbook second-round overreaction spot, and we’re jumping in. The market is still glowing from Arizona’s demolition of Akron, and as a result, we’re seeing a massive swing in perception.

Let’s rewind. Coming into Friday, Arizona was on upset alert. Akron was one of the most heavily backed underdogs of the opening round, taking 14 points in a game where many saw them as a Cinderella candidate. Why? Who knows. The Zips played no one, don’t play any defense, and rely entirely on their offense. We saw it coming. Arizona steamrolled them by 38. But now, the books have overcorrected, pricing that result into this matchup in a big way.

Meanwhile, Oregon handled its business quietly—a 29-point beatdown of Liberty, a performance just as dominant as Arizona’s, but one that didn’t generate the same headlines. Why? Because Arizona torched the betting public by dismantling the trendy dog. That’s how perception skews lines. Suddenly, the Ducks are being treated like a step behind—just because they didn’t do it against the more hyped side. Let’s reset. This is a rivalry game. These teams have battled each other for years in the now-defunct Pac-12. That means familiarity—the kind that evens the playing field regardless of seeding or spread. When these two square off, you throw out the numbers. The only thing that matters is who the market is undervaluing—and that’s Oregon, no question.

Arizona looked unstoppable against Akron, but let’s not pretend Akron was a real test. Their résumé was built against mid-tier competition. Oregon, meanwhile, has been trading punches with high-major teams all year. This game is a coin flip—and in a coin flip, you take the dog at plus money. The market is zigging toward Arizona. That’s when we zag. Quack Quack.

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