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Posted at 4:45 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.
NJIT +9½ -110 over Maine
NJIT Wellness and Events Center - Newark, NJ
11:00 AM ET. We’ll start with NJIT, a team that the market has left for dead. At 3-14, the Highlanders’ record looks ghastly, but if you dig into the details, there’s more to the story. Sure, one of their wins was a glorified scrimmage against Division II Medgar Evers College, but their other victories include a solid five-point win over Navy and an eye-opening road upset at Morehead State as an eight-point dog. While NJIT’s recent five-game skid against Division I competition looks ugly on paper, consider the competition: UMass Lowell, a powerhouse in the America East; UMBC, a perennial contender in the same conference; and Wagner, a tough out in the NEC. Even their loss to Delaware State came against a team that could easily have more wins with a bit of luck.
Now let’s talk about Maine. The Black Bears have looked impressive in their last two games, blowing out Albany and Binghamton, but both wins came at home. On the road, Maine has been an entirely different animal—one that’s anything but ferocious. Their three road wins this season came against Canisius (1-16), Duquesne (2-6 at the time), and Brown (in a two-point squeaker). Meanwhile, they’ve lost road games as favorites to the likes of Stony Brook, Richmond, and Pennsylvania—teams with records as underwhelming as their own. The idea of Maine laying this kind of lumber on the road, in any scenario, is absurd.
Then there’s the early tip-off, which can’t be ignored. For a road favorite, this is a sneaky bad spot. Early starts can throw off routines, especially for teams traveling into an unfamiliar environment. NJIT, playing at home, should be far more comfortable in this time slot, while Maine may struggle to shake off the cobwebs. The upset is very much on the table, but we’ll gladly take the generous points and trust the Highlanders to keep this one well within the number.
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Our Pick
NJIT +9½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)