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Posted at 12:00 PM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Hofstra -1½ over College of Charleston

David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex – Uniondale, NY

7:00 PM ET. College of Charleston’s season has been a masterclass in smoke and mirrors. The Cougars are riding high at 12-3 with a stellar 10-4 ATS record, but there’s little substance behind the shine. Ranked 4th in KenPom’s Luck ratings, Charleston’s knack for pulling out improbable wins is unsustainable. Whether it’s their overtime buzzer-beater against Florida Atlantic or their miraculous comebacks against St. Joe’s and Charlotte, the Cougars have been flirting with disaster all year.

The road is where Charleston’s true colors are revealed. In three true road games, they’ve been all over the map. A 38-point beatdown at Rhode Island stands out as a glaring red flag. Even in wins, they’ve relied on opponents falling apart late. This volatility makes the Cougars tough to trust, especially against a Hofstra team equipped to exploit their flaws.

Hofstra’s defense is the real deal, ranking 6th in opponent FG% and allowing just 64.3 PPG. The Pride thrive on limiting offensive rhythm, and Charleston’s offensive dependence plays right into their hands. With Hofstra’s suffocating defense and Charleston’s erratic road form. A coin flip this is not.

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