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Posted at 10:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Allen County War Memorial Coliseum – Fort Wayne, IN

Wisconsin-Milwaukee over Purdue-Fort Wayne

7:00 PM ET. The market loves a revenge narrative, and that's precisely why Purdue-Fort Wayne is priced as the favorite in this spot. But let's dig deeper. The Mastodons are winless in their last four meetings against Wisconsin-Milwaukee, and the Panthers have consistently found ways to snatch victory, often in tight contests. Instead of instilling confidence, these near-misses have turned into a psychological hurdle for Fort Wayne—a hurdle they’ve yet to clear.

The Mastodons are pulling out all the stops, moving this game to the larger Allen County War Memorial Coliseum to pack the house and "neutralize" Milwaukee’s dominance. This reeks of desperation. A team that truly believes it can win doesn’t need theatrics; it relies on its play. Yes, Fort Wayne is unbeaten at home, but that spotless record is bloated by soft competition. Meanwhile, Milwaukee has played better teams on the road, and their physicality on the boards will be a deciding factor here.

Purdue-Fort Wayne scores at a high clip, averaging 82.3 PPG, but their Achilles’ heel is a defense that ranks 333rd in opponent field goal percentage. Milwaukee thrives in creating second chances and exploiting defensive lapses. When the Mastodons’ shots stop falling—and they will—it will be Milwaukee’s rebounding and gritty play that dictate the tempo.

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