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Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Canisius +10½ over Sacred Heart

William H. Pitt Center – Fairfield, CT

2:00 PM ET. We get it. Betting on a winless team like Canisius might seem like walking into the lion's den wearing a steak suit. However, as Coppin State showed us yesterday, there's often gold hidden in the rubble. Canisius might just be another undervalued gem waiting to shine.

Sacred Heart as a significant favorite? That’s a head-scratcher. This is a team that’s been favored just three times all season, and the heaviest chalk they’ve laid in any of those was a mere three points. They didn’t cover in two of those games and outright lost both. Now, they’re being asked to spot nearly double digits? That’s a stretch. Historical performance strongly suggests Sacred Heart is ill-suited to this role.

Canisius, on the other hand, is coming off a brutal 92-59 loss to Bradford where they never sniffed the spread as a 25-point dog. That’s the kind of result that tends to bury teams in the public’s perception, which is precisely why there’s value here. The Golden Griffins haven’t played since December 21st, giving them a full two weeks to regroup, reset, and focus on this singular opponent. Sacred Heart, meanwhile, has played twice in that span, including an 18-point blowout loss at Miami (OH) and a glorified scrimmage against Division II Manhattanville.

Let’s talk about the schedules. Sacred Heart has played the 287th-ranked slate in the nation and has five wins to show for it. Canisius? They’ve slogged through the 90th toughest non-conference schedule and own a dreadful 346th-ranked "luck" metric. Translation? They’ve been grinding against tougher competition and catching no breaks. Flip the script on a few bounces, and the market’s view of these two teams would be radically different.

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