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Posted at 9:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Providence -3½ over St. Bonaventure

Mohegan Sun Arena – Uncasville, CT

Hall of Fame Tip-Off

5:00 PM ET. St. Bonaventure comes into this game as one of the hottest ATS teams in the country, covering in 8 of their first 10 games. The market has taken notice, and the Bonnies have become the darling of the early season. However, that profitability comes at a cost, as the Bonnies are now priced at a premium. Meanwhile, Providence has had a rocky start, losing four of their last six, but that inconsistency has created an opportunity for us.

Providence’s recent struggles are well-documented, and the market is wary of their volatility. But dig deeper, and you’ll see that St. Bonaventure’s ATS dominance has been built on inflated lines. The Bonnies were 17.5-point favorites against Buffalo last week, a game they won by 10, failing to cover for the first time all year. That’s the red flag we need. The Friars are the better team, and the line suggests they’re ready to assert themselves. We’ll gladly spot the points.

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