Troy vs James Madison
Troy +3 -107 over James Madison

Posted at 11:15 AM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +3 -107   BET365  +3 -110 Sportsinteraction +3 -110 888Sport +3 -110

Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL

Streaming: ESPN+ Troy +3 -107 over James Madison

3:00 PM EST. There is a perception in the market that teams that have a game under their belts in these conference tournaments are “tired” the next day against what should be “superior,” “fresh” legs. However, we could not disagree more. Not only is Troy playing for its season, but they are coming off a win over Arkansas State (63-59) with a jump in their step. To an unsuspecting market, the Trojans look like an easy target with their having covered only three of their last 10 games, including a 1-4 record Against the Spread (ATS). That recent run of futility allows us to now back a team that actually had a decent season. The Trojans knocked off Florida State, lost to then #11 Arkansas by seven, and lost to then #22 San Diego State by five while racking up some other nice non-conference wins along the way.

The Dukes of James Madison might have “fresh” legs, but are they a little too fresh after sitting idle for over a week? Be wary of this team, as the Dukes look solid on the surface with a 7-3 record ATS over their last 10 games. James Madison’s tidy looking 21-10 record was built on the back of a weak non-conference schedule that was graded at just 292-of-363 ranked Division I programs. The Dukes beat the likes of Valley Forge (123-38), Hampton (106-58) and Howard (95-69), but when they played the big boys, the Dukes were exposed. That includes a loss to Power Six schools, North Carolina and Virginia, as well as Valpo and Coppin State. If the Dukes come out here well-rested and ready to go, go be it, but the more likely scenario is that they are going to be slow out of the gate as they get their game legs back. James Madison is not the kind of team we want to be spotting points with, in a situation that favors the underdog so greatly.


Our Pick

Troy +3 -107 (Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)