George Mason @ VCU
George Mason +8 -107 over VCU

Posted at 3:30 PM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +8 -107 BET365 +8 -110 SportsInteraction +8 -110 888Sport +8 -110

Stuart C. Siegel Center, Richmond, VA

Streaming: ESPN+

George Mason +8 over VCU

7:00 PM EST. The Atlantic-10 grind is one of the toughest conference grinds in the country. It seems like every year there are between 5-10 teams that have a legit shot of punching their ticket to the Dance via a conference championship or an at-large bid. That said, it also seems like VCU is among the contenders every year. The Rams have pedigree, street cred and they also sit atop the A-10 right now with an impressive 6-1 conference record to go along with their 15-5 overall record. We also love the fact that VCU has covered five straight with four of those all being double digit victories over conference rivals. VCU is steamrolling the A-10 competition but three victories were against A-10 bottom feeders, Loyola Chicago, UMass and Davidson. The other two were against a Richmond team starting over and a decent Dayton team but that win over the Flyers was by one lousy point, 63-62. Thus, if you bet VCU here, you may cash your ticket but we promise you are spotting an inflated price and on top of that, you’re very late to the cashing party.

Unlike VCU, George Mason is without pedigree. They have a fraction of the street cred that VCU has but make no mistake that the Patriots can win here. GMU is a respectable 4-3 in the conference but a very mediocre 12-8 overall. Since the market and media react strongest to wins and losses more than anything else, we get the Patriots with extra points here and we’re all over it.

GMU’s record belies its true ability. Its last four losses including three in the conference were by four points or less. Five of its eight losses were by four points or less. If a couple of things break in a different way, GMU’s conference standing and overall record looks mighty different. We could seriously be discussing a team on 1 14-game winning streak here because that’s how close they have been to winning all those games, which include a one-point loss in Saint Louis. We smell a potential upset here but the inflated points are well worth taking.

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Our Pick

George Mason +8 -107 (Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)