Bowling Green @ Central Michigan
Central Michigan +122 over Bowling Green

Posted at 3:30 PM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +122 BET365 +120 SportsInteraction +118 888Sport +115

McGuirk Arena, Mount Pleasant, MI

Streaming: ESPN+

Bowling Green @ Central Michigan +122 over

7:00 PM EST. Bowling Green won and covered as a -3½-point favorite at home to Miami-Ohio, 83-73 last time out to improve their conference record to 3-3 and overall record to 9-10. It’s not great but it’s much better than CMU’s 6-13 overall record (2-4 in the MAC). Also worth noting is that the Bee Gees have played the 303rd ranked Strength of Schedule (SOS) in the country. The defense that the Bee Gees have faced thus far ranks a combined 360th out of 363 schools, meaning they have continually played the worst defenses in the country. A team could pick up a lot of bad habits playing such weak competition. The Falcons have lost to some weak teams this year already. Furthermore, Western Michigan and Buffalo just scored 108 and 100 points on them respectively with the point being that Bowling Green has to be very warm from the floor to even have a bit of a chance to win. That’s a difficult way to roll, especially on the road.  

Meanwhile, the Chippewas of Central Michigan had a rough weekend after getting frog-stomped on the road at Ohio, 96-68 as a 12½-point pooch. It was the Chips second double-digit loss in a row after they also dropped a 69-51 decision to Akron, as a 9½-point underdog. CMU is both 1-5 straight up and against the spread, which just might help explain why the Chips’ have moved from opening as a small favorite (-1) to now being an underdog at home, where they have won five of their seven games this season. The Chips have a win in Michigan. They played Marquette and Minnesota earlier in the year and they recently beat Buffalo, 87-78 in OT. They held the Bulls to 70 points in regulation. CMU’s SOS ranks almost 150 positions higher than the Falcons SOS. They come in here being the more battle tested and off two embarrassing losses in a row, which the market is reacting to. CMU’s stock is low while the Bee Gees stock is high and aside from that, this one checks a bunch more boxes for us. The Chips outright is our call.

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Our Pick

Central Michigan +122 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.44)