Hofstra @ Princeton
Hofstra +111 over Princeton

Posted at 3:30 PM EST odds are subject to change.

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Hofstra +111 @ Princeton

Jadwin Gymnasium - Princeton, NJ

Streaming: ESPN+

7:30 PM EST. The Princeton Tigers were an offensive juggernaut last season. They returned from the Ivy League’s yearlong COVID pause as a tour de force with the ball. Princeton featured a bevy of sharpshooting senior guards who surrounded the Ivy League Player of the Year in the frontcourt. The team’s superb offense ranked 29th nationally in adjusted efficiency, per KenPom — the highest mark for an Ivy League program since 2010. Head coach Mitch Henderson fell short of guiding the Tigers to their first NCAA Tournament since 2017, as Princeton dropped a 66-64 heartbreaker in the Ivy League Tournament final. Despite a first-round exit from the NIT, it was an excellent season. Princeton finished 23-7 and posted its best conference record (12-2) since going undefeated in that 2016-17 campaign. However, the Tigers graduated three full-time starters and some bench pieces this offseason. The program’s two returning starters are among the best in the league but it’s not enough. Jaelin Llewellyn, Ethan Wright and Drew Friberg were all full-time starters last season and the main floor-spacers not named Langborg. With their departures, the Tigers must replace nearly 40 points per game. Princeton also lost over two-thirds of its made 3-pointers from a year ago and while it may appear that Princeton is a decent play tonight spotting a porkchop, we’re suggesting it’s fool’s gold.

Reigning CAA Player of the Year Aaron Estrada is back to lead the Pride to the top of the league. Head coach and Hofstra legend Speedy Claxton enjoyed an excellent first season on the sidelines and now looks to build upon his 13-5 CAA record in Year 2. Estrada is not the only returning double-digit scorer to Hempstead. Darlinstone Dubar is also back in the mix and could be an all-conference performer this year. Anonymous CAA coaches voted Dubar the most-likely breakout player in the league. The guard/forward combo averaged 11.7 points and 4.6 rebounds per game last season. He forms an excellent duo with Estrada with his ability to dominate inside. Dubar’s post-ups and Estrada’s ball-screen actions will be at the forefront of Hofstra’s offense.

Hofstra’s roster will look much different this season, but not much should schematically change. Estrada will remain the ball-dominant leader who dictates the offense and operates out of the pick-and-roll. When that is shut off, the Pride can look inside and post-up Dubar. From an overall scheme, Hofstra will remain a fast-paced unit focused on spreading the floor with role players. The difference is that the supporting cast is full of new faces but Claxton did well in the transfer portal. Plenty of talent is on the roster, and the expectation is to contend for the CAA title and the books agree that they probably have a better chance of winning here than the host, as they made the Tigers a very enticing, small favorite.

Our Pick

Hofstra +111 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.22)



Sam Houston State +4½ -108 over Nevada