Today's Free Picks for

Pinnacle -110 BET365 -110 Sportsinteraction -110 888Sport -110
Posted at 10:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.
Houston -110 over Denver
Ball Arena – Denver, CO
9:00 PM ET. This one has contrarian value written all over it. Denver comes into this game on a tear, winning four straight by double digits and cashing in every game over that stretch. Most recently, the Nuggets went into Dallas for a two-game set, blew out the Mavs in Game 1, and then repeated the feat in Game 2, defying conventional wisdom about letdown spots. The market loves them right now, and why wouldn’t it? Blowout wins, easy covers, and a dominant narrative have made Denver the darling of bettors.
Houston, meanwhile, has won four straight as well, but their wins lack the same curb appeal. A tight victory over the hapless Wizards, a narrow win against the Lakers, and two gritty wins over Memphis don’t exactly scream dominance. The market sees Houston’s streak as more luck than skill, which is why the Rockets are laying just 1½ points here despite Denver’s short rest and altitude advantage.
However, that’s where the value lies. Denver is being overvalued after their recent run, and the Rockets are being undervalued because their wins weren’t “pretty.” As contrarian bettors, we don’t care about style points; we care about the number. The Nuggets come into this spot off a grueling back-to-back, while Houston is rested and primed. The line tells the story here, and we’re listening.
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Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose.
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Our Pick
Houston -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)