Pinnacle +6½ -110 BET365 +6½ -110 Sportsinteraction +6½ -110 888Sport +6½ -110

Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Orlando +6½ over Oklahoma City

Kia Center – Orlando, FL

7:00 PM ET. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been a darling of the betting world all season, but Tuesday’s NBA Cup Final loss to Milwaukee exposed some cracks in their armor. The Thunder were blown out by 16 points, hitting just 16% of their three-point attempts while the Bucks rained down triples with poetic precision. Watching OKC trudge off the court that night, they didn’t look fired up—they looked defeated.

Yet here we are, with the market doubling down on OKC in what’s being billed as a “get-right” game against an Orlando team that just saw its perfect home record spoiled by the Knicks. On paper, it looks like a prime bounce-back spot for the Thunder, but we’re not buying it.

Orlando remains one of the NBA’s toughest teams at home, boasting a 10-1 record at the Kia Center. The Magic’s strengths—rebounding, shot-blocking, and creating turnovers—match up perfectly against a Thunder team still licking its wounds from Tuesday’s debacle. OKC may have the league’s best scoring defense, but Orlando’s isn’t far behind, ranking second. This is a team that can go toe-to-toe with the Thunder in terms of physicality and defense, and they’ll be plenty motivated to protect their home turf.

Spotting road points to a team like Orlando, in its own building, is a big ask for any opponent, let alone one trying to shake off a deflating loss in the spotlight. This game has all the ingredients for an upset, but we’ll take the points for some added insurance.

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