Pinnacle +130 BET365 +125 Sportsinteraction +125 888Sport +125

Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Charlotte +130 ML Over Philadelphia

Spectrum Center – Charlotte, NC

7:00 PM ET. Recency bias is a powerful thing—it often clouds judgment and causes bettors to take a position at a bad price. This matchup between the Sixers and Hornets is a perfect example of that. Philadelphia enters the game riding an eight-game winning streak against Charlotte and has already beaten the Hornets twice this season, both times as five-point favorites, winning by no more than six points—one of those victories required overtime. In light of this, you might expect the market to favor Philly here, but we actually see things a little differently.

Despite their poor form, the Hornets are getting the shortest line they’ve seen in quite some time. Over their last ten games, Charlotte has been no shorter than a 4.5-point underdog, so getting +130 on the moneyline is an intriguing proposition. We understand the Hornets’ recent struggles—just one win in their last ten outings—but this price is telling us that oddsmakers believe the Hornets have a real chance of breaking through against a team they know they can compete with. With both teams playing to a low total (214.5 O/U at the time of writing), this game will likely come down to possession and physicality. The Hornets have the rebounding edge, both in terms of size and effort, and that’s crucial when the game is expected to be a grind.

What stands out most is Philadelphia’s struggles on the road. At 4-7 away from home, the Sixers have not been the same team outside of their friendly confines. Meanwhile, Charlotte’s motivation to prove they can beat a quality opponent like the Sixers will be at an all-time high. Getting the Hornets at this price, especially with the physical tools to win the battle inside, is a value play we’re happy to take.

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