San Antonio @ Houston
San Antonio +2½ -104 over Houston

Posted at 11:45 AM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +2½ -104  BET365  +2½ -110 Sportsinteraction +2½ -110 888Sport +2½ -110

San Antonio +2½ over Houston

7:10 PM ST. These two teams played last night in San Antonio, where the Rockets ran roughshod in a 122-110 final as a slim 1-point road favorite. While the win is nice, we can't get too excited about the prospect of the Rockets spotting a larger price today after they just snapped their 11-game losing streak. It’s also worth noting that the double-digit win last night was a total team effort, with the Rockets getting 57 points from their reserves, which included a season-high 20 from rookie Tari Eason.

The reason for all the points off the bench are the injuries to Jae’Sean Tate (who did not play), and Kevin Porter Jr., who did play and added 11 points as he hobbled up and down the floor. Porter had previously missed 20 games with a sore left toe. When the dust settled, the Rockets posted an uncharacteristic 26 assists and featured eight players posting double digits. If an unordinary night shooting wasn’t enough, the Rockets built their résumé last night on the back of 15 Spurs turnovers.

While the sloppy play is what did San Antonio in the end, that game last night wasn’t all bad news, as Devonte Graham and the rest of the Spurs outscored the Rockets by 21 points in the three-point shooting department. Usually, the team that is the superior side from beyond the arc is the team that is going to win the game. The Spurs have also been bit by the injury bug with both Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell (who average over 40 points per game combined) out of the lineup.

Recency bias looms large here, as the Rocket just easily won and covered on the road last night, but they needed many chips to fall their way for that to happen. Prior to beating the Spurs, Houston lost six games straight up and against the number. The Rockets routinely lose by double digits themselves and rarely do they come close to covering, and that’s as an underdog. The role of the favorite is not one the Rockets are built for, which makes them a must-fade here.


Our Pick

San Antonio +2½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)

Atlanta +116 over Memphis