Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 3:15 PM EST odds are subject to change.
Dallas -7 over L.A. Clippers
8:30 PM EST. The Clippers are seeing an uptick in their stock after a slow start. L.A. has won six of their last eight, including a 122-106 win over Houston as a 5½-point favorite last time out. It’s an impressive run on paper, but a closer look shows the quality of the competition faced leaves something to be desired. In addition to beating the Rockets, the Clippers knocked off the Lakers, San Antonio, and Houston twice more. Only their win over Cleveland came against a team with a better than .500 record. For some perspective, the Lakers, Rockets and Spurs are a combined 11-30. The Clippers are feasting on cupcakes, but that changes tonight.
The Mavericks have not covered a game in nearly three weeks, while the Clippers are heating up, having won and cashed in three of their last four games. That discrepancy in recent results has this line standing out like a sore thumb. How can the Mavs be spotting points in this range when they’ve failed to cover six in a row when favored by 4-8½ points? We trust that the oddsmakers knew what they were doing here when they made the Mavericks a 7-point favorite at open. They are begging for bets on the Clippers. That’s a big reg flag. Buyer beware.
Dallas -7 +100 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)