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Posted at 11:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Seattle over N.Y. Yankees

9:40 PM EST. Bryce Miller is the superior starting pitcher here, having allowed three earned runs or fewer over his last seven outings while posting a 23.5% K-BB rate. It just so happens the Yankees are striking out 23.3% of the time against RHP over the last month. In his last start last Thursday, Miller allowed just one run while walking one over 6 IP, punching out seven Rangers. That was Miller’s second quality start in a row and his third in his last four outings. Miller now has a 2.16 ERA in September with 15 Ks in 16.2 IP.

Meanwhile, Nestor Cortes (LHP - NYY) is coming off a start in which he pitched well against the Red Sox, but those quality starts have been few and far between. Cortes was relegated to the bullpen in his prior appearance, but the Yankees are going to go with a six-man rotation the rest of the way, so Cortes is back in the fold. On the season, Cortes has an xERA of 4.17, while posting a weak groundball rate and a weak first-pitch strike rate of 58.5%, which means he’s often working behind in counts. Over the long term, that is not a recipe for success.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Detroit    +134

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