Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Pittsburgh +130 over St. Louis

Pinnacle +130  BET365 +125 Sportsinteraction +125  888Sport +125

Posted at 2:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pittsburgh over St. Louis

7:45 PM EST. Bailey Falter (RHP - PIT) is not the target here, although he did pick up a win last Wednesday vs. Miami, where he allowed two hits over 7.1 IP while striking out five. Falter gave up just two singles to the Marlins and picked up the quality start.

We are here to fade Lance Lynn (RHP - STL), who makes his second start after missing almost six weeks of action due to inflammation in his right knee. Lynn has seen a significant dip in his swing-and-miss rate this season, which has caused him to miss fewer bats. He’s also walking hitters at a high 3.40 BB/9 clip, which is his highest mark in six seasons. On the surface, Lynn’s 3.96 ERA looks OK, but his xERA is nearly a run higher. He has 104 Ks to 42 BBs and is a weak favorite that we’re not going to let up on.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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Our Pick

Pittsburgh +130 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.60)

N.Y. Mets +101 over Philadelphia