Pinnacle +128  BET365 +125 Sportsinteraction +125 888Sport +125

Posted at 2:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Detroit over Chicago

8:05 PM EST. The Tigers have yet to name a starter for this series opener at Wrigley, but they figure to go with a bullpen day. Even if they don’t, it matters not, as we are here to fade the Cubs and their starter, Javier Assad (RHP - CHC).

Assad brings a decent-looking surface ERA of 3.19, but his xERA is up at 4.72, and he’s been aided by a higher-than-average strand rate while posting a very weak swing and miss rate of 6.4% with a dismal first-pitch strike rate of 57.6%. Assad is walking hitters in droves this season with a 4.11 BB/9 walk rate, which when paired with an average groundball rate and his weak K numbers, creates a potential powder keg that could blow up at any time. In his last start, last Tuesday against the Guardians, Assad generated just two whiffs on 31 swings (in 4.2 IP) for a 6% whiff rate and a lame called and swinging strike (CSW%) of 22%. He struck out two and walked two. At home at Wrigley, Assad has walked 30 batters in 53 IP, and he’s not pitched into the fifth inning in seven of his last nine starts.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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