Pinnacle -104 BET365 -110Sportsinteraction  -110 888Sport  -110

Posted at 11:15 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

L.A. Dodgers over St. Louis

2:15 PM EST. It's only four starts, but Clayton Kershaw's (LHP - LAD) 4.32 xERA and 20% K% are currently career-worst marks, and his 14% K-BB% is his worst since 2009. He’s yet to surpass 85 pitches since being activated from the IL on July 25.

A 5.86 ERA over his last 7 starts might make Sonny Gray (RHP - STL) look like a terrible choice at this price against the Dodgers, but that ERA has been bloated by everything that could go wrong going wrong (39% H%, 59% S%, 29% HR/F). His xERA during that same stretch? An outstanding 2.97. And he's been much more effective at home thanks to limiting home runs (2.66 ERA, 0.4 HR/9 at home, 5.43 ERA, 2.1 HR/9 on the road). Will that be enough to hold off a Dodgers lineup that ranks 4th in OPS and 3rd in HR? The Matchups tool clearly thinks so.

Sherwood

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