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Posted at 1:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Tampa Bay over Toronto

7:07 PM EST. The Rays come into this one licking their wounds after a 9-1 drubbing by the Yankees in New York, and they will go with a bullpen day, as reliever Shawn Armstrong (RHP - TB) will get the ball to start this game. Despite that lopsided result in the series closer, the Rays split that four-game series with the Yanks. As for Armstrong, this will be his sixth opening assignment, where he brings 45 Ks in 42.2 IP with a first-pitch strike rate of 72.6%. After Armstrong, it’s expected the Rays will follow with lefty Tyler Alexander, who was called up from Triple-A Durham this morning. Alexander has six prior starts under his belt this season and sports a 48/13 K/BB ratio in 56.2 big league innings here in 2024.

The Blue Jays are a franchise in limbo. They have underachieved in recent years, going from one of the most prolific offenses in the game to a team that is mediocre, at best, at the dish. At home, in Toronto, the Jays are hitting just .241 (19th) and v LHP (remember, a lefty is coming in for Tampa after the opener), the Jays are hitting a puny .229 (27th). With so much disappointment, the hot stove is sparked, and there are a handful of Blue Jays players who could be on the way out, and it appears nobody is safe with stars such as Vladdy Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette dominating the rumor mill. Mindset is everything, and until the Jays make their moves, it’s pins and needles in the clubhouse.

The Jays will go with José Berrios (RHP - TOR), who looks to be in a downward spiral after stumbling into the All-Star break, allowing at least four runs in five of his last six starts before that break. In his final start before the All-Star festivities, Berríos was torched for five runs over four innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks on July 13. Berrios was yanked after just 90 pitches, of which only 55 were strikes. Berrios now has a bloated xERA of 5.11 with just 87 Ks in 119 IP, and his swing and miss rate is down from 11% in 2023 to a puny 7.9% in 2024. Berrios and the Blue Jays are weak favorites, and we’re going to attack.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

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