Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Cincinnati +127 over Atlanta

Pinnacle +127 BET365 +125 Sportsinteraction +125 888Sport +125

Posted at 2:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Cincinnati over Atlanta

7:20 PM EST. Reynaldo Lopez (RHP - ATL) is a career reliever turned starter, who sports a dazzling 1.88 ERA, but there are cracks by way of his xERA, which is much higher at 4.23. To further support the idea that there could be a correction to the bad coming in that surface ERA is his quite fortunate strand rate of 86.9%.

Lopez started the season strong, but he’s faded in recent outings, including his last start before the All-Star break, in which he gave up a season-high 11 hits while striking out just two over 6 IP in a loss to the Padres. Fatigue could be setting in for Lopez, as he has already pitched 95.2 innings this season, which is his highest total since 2019.

Meanwhile, Hunter Greene picked up the win in his final turn before being an All-Star selection, as he allowed just one run on two hits over 6 IP versus the Rockies, where he punched out 10 Colorado hitters. That was the fifth time in his last six starts that Greene allowed two or fewer runs, which he has now done in 13 of his 19 trips to the bump this year. Greene was worthy of the All-Star nod, posting a 1.11 WHIP with 126 Ks over 110.1 innings. Overlay.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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Our Pick

Cincinnati +127 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)