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Posted at 12:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.
Logan Webb to Record the Win +140
9:45 PM EST. The Giants won a weird one last night with the game-winning run being a walk-off on a wild pitch that saw San Francisco take the opener 4-3. The Blue Jays, who had a 3-1 lead after seven innings but blew that lead, will send Chris Bassitt (RHP - TOR) out for his 19th start of the season after he took the loss vs. Houston last Thursday. In that turn, Bassitt allowed four runs on eight hits with three strikeouts and four walks in 5 IP. Heading into the break, Bassitt’s surface stats look good on paper, but he’s seen a major decline in his swing-and-miss rate, which is down to a puny 7.9%, its lowest since 2018. His walk rate is up over a run per nine (3.61 BB/9 to 2.66 BB/9) over 2023. Finally, Bassitt’s xERA is nearly a run higher (4.30) than his surface ERA (3.43), and his WHIP has much room for improvement at 1.42.
Logan Webb is just 7-6, but he’s pitching at a very high level with an ERA of 3.09 that is backed by an xERA of 2.72. Webb picked up the win over the Braves last Thursday, where he struck out six over 7 IP. After giving up two runs in the first, Webb didn’t allow a baserunner past second the rest of the way. Webb has gone at least seven innings in six of his last eight starts, and he’s gone at least five innings in 16 of his 19 starts, with the last time not going five being a four-inning outing on May 5. The Giants are also playable on the run line here, but we are going to attack this one by backing Webb to record the win. If the Giants win this game, it’s very likely that Webb is going to be in line for the W.
Sherwood
Pinnacle takes some of the lowest fees on all users’ bets, meaning it’s able to offer some of the best value odds on the market. Compared to other major, well-known sportsbooks, Pinnacle offers superior average odds pricing. Pinnacle’s low betting margins and high betting limits is the best in the biz and will save you thousands of dollars over your betting life.
For instance, a baseball game at most sportsbooks has 20 to 25 cent margins
Arizona -150
Detroit +125
That’s a 25 cent margin but at Pinnacle, it’ll be an 9 cent margin (see example)
Arizona -145
Detroit +134
If you bet on sports daily, Pinnacle is a must have because of their low margins.
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Our Pick
Logan Webb to Record the Win +140 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.80)