Washington @ N.Y. Mets
Washington +119 over N.Y. Mets

Pinnacle +119 BET365 +115 Sportsinteraction +115 888Sport +115

Posted at 12:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change. 

Washington over N.Y. Mets

7:10 PM EST. Jake Irvin (RHP - WAS) is coming off eight scoreless innings and a win over the Mets last Thursday where he allowed just one hit and punched out eight. It was one of the best starts in a series of damn good ones for Irvin, who generated 15 whiffs on 47 swings (32%) and posted a stellar 38% called and swinging strike (CSW%) rate.

In that same game, Jose Quintana (LHP - NYM) also pitched, coming off a shutout (7 IP), but his performance was not as impressive as that stat line would have you believe, as he walked three and struck out just one. Quintana also posted a weak 17% whiff rate and a weak 23% CSW%. On the year, Quintana has a bloated xERA of 5.34 with just 66 Ks to 32 BBs in 89.2 IP, and he’s not fooling anyone with his weak swing-and-miss rate of 7.5%. Dude should be considered fade fodder anytime he is favored, and we’re putting that to the test today.

Sherwood

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For instance, a baseball game at most sportsbooks has 20 to 25 cent margins

Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

That’s a 25 cent margin but at Pinnacle, it’ll be an 9 cent margin (see example)

Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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Our Pick

Washington +119 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.38)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee