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Posted at 2:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Colorado over Cincinnati

7:10 PM EST. Ryan Feltner (RHP - COL) is likely off the radar with an ugly 5.60 ERA, but his xERA is a much more respectable 4.01. In his last start on Tuesday, Feltner didn't factor in the decision, but he gave up just one run on six hits and two walks over five innings. He has now gone at least five frames (28 IP) in each of his past five starts, and he has a 26/7 K/BB across 28 innings during that stretch.

Feltner was actually supposed to pitch yesterday, but manager Bud Black said the decision to push him back to today was based on his stronger numbers on the road (4.65 ERA in 50.1 innings) compared to at Coors Field (6.75 ERA in 41.1 innings). The team he faces today in the Reds has been uncharacteristically low-scoring at home this season, where they are only averaging 4.0 runs per game and have a .661 OPS.

Cincinnati will send out Andrew Abbott (LHP - CIN), who does not have a pure quality start in 17 starts this season. He did toss a decent game when he faced the Rockies in June, but so what? An 80% strand rate has helped Abbott greatly outperform his poor 4.94 xERA. We find Abbott after he got a win over the Yankees, but he wasn’t overpowering in that turn, as he induced just six swinging strikes and racked up only two punchouts. Abbott’s K rate is down big time this season, as his 6.9 K/9 is a steep drop-off from his 9.9 K/9 last year. Dude is straight fade material when favored in this range.

Sherwood

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